Drifts in OD to CFU ratios
OD600 is often used as a real-time stand-in for plate counts. You prepare different dilutions of the same cultures, measure with OD and CFU pairs, draw a standard curve, and read cell concentration off that curve from then on.
The curve rests on one assumption: that a given OD always means the same number of cells. It does not. The conversion factor drifts as the culture grows. Across one growth curve the OD-to-CFU factor rose 6.6×, from 2.6×108 to 1.7×109 CFU/mL per OD unit.
Read the highlights below. The full story is available in OD calibration factors drift.
The same OD, three different CFU results
An E. coli culture was followed from ~1×106 to 1×1010 cells/mL, measuring OD600 and plate counts side by side. The left chart shows that BactoBox® cells (lavender) is practically superimposed on the CFU data (green). OD axis is adjusted to balance the data points below and over the CFU curve.
Initially, at 2.2 hours, cells are big and effective at scattering light. This leads to relatively few cells per OD; 1 OD600 unit corresponds to 2.57×108 CFU/mL. At the end of incubation cells as cells starve, they get smaller and scatter less light. At 11.6 hours 1 OD600 unit corresponds to 1.69×109 CFU/mL. That's a factor 6.6× difference.
Same reading, same culture, same instrument. The only difference is when the calibration was made.

No single factor fixes it
Averaging does not rescue the method. The geometric mean of the CFU-to-OD ratio across the whole run is 8.59×108 CFU/mL per OD unit. Apply it everywhere and it over-reads by 3.3× at 2.2 hours and under-reads by 2.0× at 11.6 hours. Every constant you could pick lands somewhere in that same trade-off.
Implications
When OD measurements are used to infer bacterial concentration, this assumes a constant calibration factor. It is not. Therefore OD is not a suitable proxy for standardizing actively growing bacterial cultures.
Use BactoBox® instead. BactoBox® measures bacteria directly and does not need calibration factors. BactoBox® demonstrates close to 1:1 agreement with plate counts during the entire growth curve.
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